Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.070988 0.082726 0.095730 0.111197 0.129085 0.149116 0.173241
2024-10-06 0.054502 0.070382 0.089771 0.115145 0.147446 0.187157 0.239663
2024-10-13 0.044144 0.061880 0.085276 0.118308 0.163663 0.223667 0.309011
2024-10-20 0.035078 0.052697 0.077502 0.114828 0.169422 0.246197 0.362210
2024-10-27 0.028637 0.045704 0.071134 0.111576 0.174059 0.266681 0.414126
2024-11-03 0.025122 0.042304 0.069220 0.114168 0.187041 0.300172 0.488667
2024-11-10 0.022866 0.040422 0.069203 0.119431 0.204477 0.342097 0.580963
2024-11-17 0.020553 0.038019 0.067890 0.122200 0.217930 0.378899 0.669034
2024-11-24 0.018261 0.035259 0.065509 0.122671 0.227306 0.409686 0.750219
2024-12-01 0.016203 0.032582 0.062855 0.122186 0.234731 0.437652 0.829324
2024-12-08 0.014327 0.029954 0.059897 0.120657 0.239892 0.461898 0.904107
2024-12-15 0.013308 0.028852 0.059656 0.124221 0.254980 0.505812 1.020218
2024-12-22 0.012389 0.027855 0.059551 0.128171 0.271575 0.554941 1.153139
2024-12-29 0.011610 0.027042 0.059714 0.132695 0.289906 0.609557 1.303416
2025-01-05 0.010829 0.026102 0.059478 0.136323 0.306784 0.663072 1.457516
2025-01-12 0.009535 0.023794 0.055964 0.132327 0.306788 0.681678 1.540428
2025-01-19 0.008430 0.021757 0.052768 0.128593 0.306840 0.700250 1.625155
2025-01-26 0.007899 0.021036 0.052498 0.131569 0.322428 0.754238 1.794116
2025-02-02 0.007600 0.020852 0.053469 0.137611 0.345865 0.828201 2.016446
2025-02-09 0.007156 0.020227 0.053282 0.140789 0.362814 0.889099 2.215032
2025-02-16 0.006616 0.019258 0.052107 0.141329 0.373343 0.936063 2.385590
2025-02-23 0.006076 0.018210 0.050586 0.140772 0.381033 0.977010 2.545954
2025-03-02 0.005538 0.017082 0.048705 0.139018 0.385415 1.010299 2.690886